With the arrival of the cryptocurrencies a revolution in the financial system and in social life is inevitable.
The same happens with Football Betting.
Society wants Football Betting to be considered Gambling. Controlling people’s emotions and making them play instead of Investing.
In this analysis we show how Investing in Football betting can be a much more profitable Investment than traditional Investments such as Stock Market, Forex, etc.
They will be able to see how You can have a 25% return with minimum risk and greater profitability, if we compare it to Tesla, for example. The popular stock that in a week had 4.80% Profit.
Granada and Villarreal will be play each other for the 29 round of La Liga.
The two teams are separated by 7 points. Granada is in 8th place with 36 points and Villarreal in 7th place with 43 points.
Both teams aim to reach places of access to the Europa League. And this game is going to be extremely important. An Intense game is expected.
We have chosen this game because it seems to us that has a good Fair Value.So now we will do a Full Analysis of the game.
Granada is team that plays better at home than away. With 27 points won at home against 9 points away.
Villarreal is also slightly superior when playing at home with 24 points won, against 19 away. Villarreal only has 5 losses in the league, being the fourth best team with the fewest losses.
Villarreal is the fifth team with the most ball possession with 53.6%against Granada with 43.8%.
Both teams score the most goals in the Open Play, as we can see inthe table below. For a team the size of Granada, they score many goals from Set Pieces.
Since Granada is a team that suffers many goals, they have 46 goals conceded in 28 games. Of those 46 goals conceded, 32 has been suffered in Open Play. Where Villarreal is very strong, scoring 64% of their Open Play goals.
It should also be noted that Granada’s team is less disciplined than Villarreal’s. As we can see in the table below. Diego Martínez’s team has 64 yellow cards and 5 red. Against Villarreal’s 53 yellow cards and 2 reds.
In the last game between the two teams there was a draw 2–2 at Villarreal´s Home. We can see that it was a very intense game with 4 yellow cards for Granada and one red. Villarreal received only two yellow cards.
Now we are going to analyze each team in statistical and tactical terms.
GRANADA
Granada´s games are usually synonymous of goals, and there was only one game in which there were no goals. For that we have to go back to the 8th round of the League, where there was a 0–0 draw against Celta de Vigo. Apart from that all the games of Granada had goals.
As we mentioned before, Granada is a team that scores more goals in Open Play 62% and also scores a lot of goals in set pieces, 24% and 9% in counter attack.
This is due to having players with excellent physical and tactically intelligent ability. Like Roberto Soldado, Luis Suarez, Molina, Darwin Machís. Gonalons among others.
However, this team likes to attack on the right side through Dimitri Foulquier, the Frenchman who came from Watford, as we can see in the figure below.
Dimitri Foulquier is a very important player in the offensive maneuver, but also in the team’s defensive maneuver. It is a heavy loss for Granada who will not count on him for this game. He is the second player with the most assists (3 assists in LaLiga this year). And we have to point out that he is the second player with the most yellow cards, seven. He is also the third player with the most minutes in the South of Spain team, with 1862 minutes.
Another major absence is Luis Suárez, the Colombian and not the player from Atl Madrid. The former player of Real Zaragoza is the second best scorer of the team with 5 goals. He will not be able to play due to Muscle Injury. Also Milla will not play by a Muscule Injury.
Also noteworthy are some players, such as Roberto Soldado, the experienced striker who has 6 goals in La Liga, Darwin Machís who has 4 assists and 3 goals.
But in this team of Diego Martínez, who practices good quality football. And yet during the games he creates a lot of scoring opportunities. We have to highlight three players who are important in the balance of the team and who have made it possible for the team to also perform well in the Europe League.
They are Rui Silva (goalkeeper), Domingos Duarte (Central Defense), both Portuguese. Just like the Venezuelan player on loan from Manchester CIty, Yangel Herrera. Midfielder with excellent technical capacity and very strong Physically. As you can see in this video.
The Granada team is full of talents, and according to Transfermarket the team is worth 115.90M, For a team that in 2018/2019 was in the 2 Spanish division is very good.
If we have to highlight a player, we highlight Venuzuelan Darwin Machis (his market value is 10M). For his speed, technical and finishing skills that he has been demonstrating over the years at Granada.
Here in the image below we can see Verde the goals he scored in the last two seasons. And in red, the opportunities the he wasted.
Now let’s analyze the statistical part of this team that plays excellent football.
It is a team that scores more goals at home than away, 20 goals scored at home against 14 goals away. However, they also suffers more goals away, 30, than at home, with 16 goals conceded.
Granada just didn’t score at home in 14% of the games and the absence of Luis Suarez and Folquier for this game is extremely important and makes the odds for the Granada rise. The reward for the investor increases, as well the risk.
In this table we can see that only 4% of Granada’s games ended without no goals, as we have already mentioned. Since what happens more often is that there are 2 goals in the game, in this case it happens 29% of the time.
The Granada team usually scores more goals in the 2nd half, as well as usually concedes more goals in the 2nd half.
In terms of form, Granada is in 8th place, with the objective of entering the Europe League again. In the last 5 games they have 3 losses and 2 wins.
Now let’s look at the team coached by Unai Emery.
VILLARREAL
Unai Emery likes his teams to play in possession and attractive football. Villarreal scores 64% of his Open Play goals. Since there is a balance on the side where the team attacks. 38% on the left side and 37% on the right flank.
In this image below we can see how Villarreal always prefers the short pass, 87% of the passes are short.
Villarreal’s reference player is undoubtedly Gerard Moreno with 16 goals and 5 assists. Also noteworthy is Daniel Parejo, the former Valencia with 3 goals and 2 assists.
Despite having a team with great attacking players, they only have 39 goals scored. However they only have 31 goals conceded.
For that it counts with players like Sergio Asenjo, Raúl Albiol and Pau Torres .
In this table we can see the strengths and weaknesses, and for this game you will not be able to play with excellent midfielders. Coquelin, Iborra and Trigueros.
Villarreal only lost 5 times but drew 13 times. This shows some instability in holding the result, especially at the mental level. If we analyze the Arsenal of Unai Emery we can see some similarities. Being that they practice good football however in the decisive moments they facilitate. This is demonstrated with the 13 draws.
We can see that they are a practically constant team, playing both at home and away. With 19 goals scored away against 20 scored at home.
Unai Emery’s team is just two points behind the Europa League and wants to guarantee their presence next year. And for that, this game against Granada is very important. Because Granada is in 8th place.
Players like Gerard Moreno, Paco Alcácer, Daniel Parejo, Samu Chukwueze, can make a difference in offensive terms. Being that they will explore the defensive weaknesses of Granada.
Diego Martinez vs Unai Emery
Both coaches have ideas very well implemented, however to make a good investment it is necessary to know the ideas of each coach.
Here you can see the interview with each coach.
Diego Martinez: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wF1xOc0tvA
Unai Emery: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ly6pB4pQMoY
WEATHER
The Weather is very important in Football, sometimes can make a difference when you invest in the Market of Over / Under. So you can see the Weather in Granada for Saturday.
History of the Clubs
The history of the Clubs is important because sometimes can make the difference. Is very important to see the motivations of the clubs, to see the connections between the clubs, between the companies. So is not mandatory although will help you to do your analysis correctly.
Here you can see the history of Both Clubs
:
Granada : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Granada_CF
Villarreal: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Villarreal_CF
Markets
Based on all of our analysis, we concluded that this game is more important for Villarreal than for Granada. Despite having a good season and in the Europa league as well, Granada have a smaller squad. The accumulated games will lean more towards the side of Granada. However, Villarreal will exploit some defensive weaknesses on the part of Diego Martinez’s team. Since the absence of Folquier and Luis Suarez will be fundamental, mainly for the offensive quality of the team. The goal market is expected to be more inclined towards the Under 2.5 due to these absences. However, goals are expected, as we mentioned earlier, there was only one Granada game in which there were no goals. And this is an extremely important game.
So we have two Investment Ideas depending on the Investor Profile. As you can see in the two images below.
These two ideas are based on all the analysis we have done and the risk profile. One idea is focused on a low risk profile and the other on a medium risk profile.
For investors who prefer higher risks, with returns above 100%, they may consider Villarreal to win. However, our two investment ideas are Villarreal over 0.5, with an expected return of 25%. Villarreal over 1 (No 3 Way Market), with an expected return of 48%.
As you can see in the figures below.
It should be noted that these investment ideas may have a higher return compared to other more traditional investments. Or even comparing with Bitcoin.
It is important to realize a big difference between investing and betting.
One piece of advice we give is that you don’t get carried away by your emotions when it comes to investing.
Because you see the principle of Investing in Football Betting is the same as the Stocks. Investments are dependent on the growth or decline of the companies. And everything that can influence these companies, can influence the return of the Investor.
Don’t forget to subscribe to our Telegram channel and our SubReddit to have more content like this. And mainly to have a higher profitability compared to all types of more traditional investment.
These are not Financial advices, are only our vision as Content
Publisher. So we try to bring the Best Ideas for you. We hope that you can put it on practice.
